Quarterly report pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d)

FAIR VALUE

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FAIR VALUE
3 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2024
FAIR VALUE  
FAIR VALUE

3. FAIR VALUE

In accordance with the Fair Value Measurements and Disclosures Topic of ASC 820, the Company groups its financial assets and financial liabilities generally measured at fair value in three levels, based on the markets in which the assets and liabilities are traded, and the reliability of the assumptions used to determine fair value:

Level 1: Input prices quoted in an active market for identical financial assets or liabilities.

Level 2: Inputs other than prices quoted in Level 1, such as prices quoted for similar financial assets and liabilities in active markets, prices for identical assets, and liabilities in markets that are not active or other inputs that are observable or can be corroborated by observable market data.

Level 3: Input prices quoted that are significant to the fair value of the financial assets or liabilities which are not observable or supported by an active market.

To the extent that the valuation is based on models or inputs that are less observable or unobservable in the market, the determination of fair value requires more judgment. Accordingly, the degree of judgment exercised by the Company in determining fair value is greatest for instruments categorized in Level 3. A financial instrument’s level within the fair value hierarchy is based on the lowest level of any input that is significant to the fair value measurement. The carrying value of cash and cash equivalents approximates fair value as maturities are less than three months. The carrying amounts reported for other current financial assets and liabilities approximate fair value because of their short-term nature.

As part of the September 2023 financing (see Note 2) the Company issued Tranche A and Tranche B warrants to purchase shares of preferred stock which, on an as-converted basis, represented an aggregate of 21,025,641 shares of common stock. The fair value of the Tranche A and B warrants was determined using a probability-weighted expected return method (PWERM) with a scenario-based Monte Carlo simulation and Black-Scholes model. The PWERM is a scenario-based methodology that estimates the fair value of the Company’s different classes of equity based upon an analysis of future values for the Company, assuming various outcomes. Under both models, assumptions and estimates are used to value the preferred stock warrants. The Company assesses these assumptions and estimates on a quarterly basis as additional information that impacts the assumptions is obtained. The quantitative elements associated with the inputs impacting the fair value measurement of the Tranche A and B warrants include the value per share of the underlying common stock, the timing, form and overall value of the expected exits for the stockholders, the risk-free interest rate, the expected dividend yield and the expected volatility of the Company’s shares. The risk-free interest rate is determined by reference to the U.S. Treasury yield curve for time periods approximately equal to the remaining contractual term of the warrants. The Company estimated a 0% dividend yield based on the expected dividend yield and the fact that the Company has never paid or declared cash dividends. Expected volatility was determined based upon the historical volatility of the Company’s common stock.

The Tranche A and B warrants are classified within the Level 3 hierarchy because of the nature of these inputs and the valuation technique utilized. The warrant liability of $8,800,000 and $3,700,000 presented on the accompanying condensed consolidated balance sheets as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023, respectively, consisted entirely of the estimated value of the 2023 Warrants.

The following table summarizes the modified option-pricing assumptions used on December 31, 2023, and March 31, 2024:

    

December 31

    

March 31

Volatility

82.0-83.0

%

84.0-85.0

%

Risk-free interest rate

 

3.80-5.40

%

4.26

%

Expected life (years)

 

0.3-4.7

1.0-4.4

Dividend

 

0

%

0

%

At the time the Tranche A warrants were exercised, their fair value, calculated as the difference between the common stock conversion rate in the Series E-3 preferred stock and the trading price of the stock when the warrants were exercised, was determined to be $4,800,000, and was recorded as an expense and liability. Due to the settlement of the Tranche A warrants relieving the Company of any further related obligation, the liability was reclassified to equity in accordance with ASC 815.

The Tranche B warrants continue to be classified in the Level 3 hierarchy due to a cash settlement feature in the agreement. The following table summarizes the changes in the fair value of the Tranche A and B warrants, which are classified within the Level 3 fair value hierarchy, from December 31, 2023, through March 31, 2024:

    

Level 3

December 31, 2023, warrant fair value

$

3,700,000

Loss from change in Tranche A warrant fair value

4,800,000

Settlement of Tranche A warrants to equity

(4,800,000)

Loss from change in Tranche B warrant fair value

 

5,100,000

March 31, 2024, warrant fair value

$

8,800,000